The Dominica Meteorological Service has maintained its prediction of a below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season in its latest August update. The forecast, which covers the official season running from June 1 to November 30, continues to point to reduced tropical cyclone activity across the Atlantic basin this year.
Despite the below-normal outlook, the Met Service is reminding residents that the seasonal prediction offers no guarantee of safety. Officials stress that it takes only one system to produce significant impacts on the island, and all households, businesses and communities should treat the remainder of the season with the same seriousness as any other year.
The August update follows the initial outlook issued earlier in the year and reflects the latest atmospheric and oceanic conditions observed across the Atlantic. Forecasters monitor a range of factors including sea surface temperatures, wind shear and atmospheric moisture when assessing the likely level of storm activity.
Dominica remains in the peak period of the hurricane season, which historically runs from mid-August through late October. This is the time when the island is most vulnerable to tropical storms and hurricanes, and the Met Service is urging residents to use the coming weeks to review their preparedness plans.
Families are encouraged to check their emergency supplies, including water, non-perishable food, batteries, flashlights and important documents. Property owners should inspect roofs, windows and drainage systems, and trim trees or branches that could pose a hazard in high winds. Those living in flood-prone or landslide-prone areas should be aware of their evacuation routes and shelter locations.
The Office of Disaster Management (ODM) works alongside the Dominica Meteorological Service to coordinate the national response to weather threats. Residents are advised to monitor official alerts and bulletins throughout the season and to act promptly when warnings are issued.
The Met Service will continue to issue regular updates as conditions evolve. While the below-normal prediction is welcome news, the message from forecasters remains consistent: preparation is not optional, and vigilance must be maintained until the season officially ends on November 30.
